Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KAC 1909 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
KAC 1909 are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LWD), averaging 2.67 scored and 2.67 conceded, while Velden are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and KAC 1909 hold a 38.3-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while KAC 1909 holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
KAC 1909
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
KAC 1909 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 2.67/2.67
GF 7 · GA 19 · avg 1.40/3.80