Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Inter · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Juventus are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Inter are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Inter hold a 15.5-point power-rating edge (40.9 v 56.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Inter holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Inter
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
12.2%
Inter has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40