Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Juventude · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Juventude are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Sao Paulo are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Juventude hold a 13.4-point power-rating edge (61.3 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.1% in the Copa Do Brasil, while Juventude holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Juventude
Probability
50.1%
Model confidence
50.1%
Juventude has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 0.40/0.20
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00