Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Juventude · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Juventude are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Goias are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Juventude hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (60.7 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the Serie B, while Juventude holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Juventude
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Juventude has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60