JuventudevsAtletico-MG

Juventude are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Atletico-MG are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Juventude hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (61.3 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.3% in the Copa Do Brasil, while Juventude holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.