Juventudvs
Club Nacional
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 3/8/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club Nacional · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Juventud are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Club Nacional are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Club Nacional hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (43.4 v 53.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Primera División, while Club Nacional holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Club Nacional
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Club Nacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60