Juventudvs
Cerro Largo
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 2/8/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Juventud are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Cerro Largo are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cerro Largo hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (43.4 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60