GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera C · 7/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Juventud Unida are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Lugano are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Lugano hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.2%

Model confidence

46.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Juventud UnidaLWWLD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LuganoDWWLD

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Juventud UnidaLugano
36.4Attack39.1
68.2Defence71.0
43.9Form52.2
51.1Power55.6
0.67xG0.70
View match centre →