GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 5/23/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Juventud Unida Univ. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while San Martín Mendoza are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and San Martín Mendoza hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 49.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.7% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 13% BTTS chance and 5% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

58.7%

Model confidence

58.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Juventud Unida Univ.LWLWD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
San Martín MendozaLDLDL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Juventud Unida Univ.San Martín Mendoza
22.8Attack28.1
75.4Defence68.4
35.1Form45.6
46.7Power49.9
0.46xG0.39
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