GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 7/14/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Juventud de Bernal are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Provincial are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Provincial hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (18.4 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.0%

Model confidence

37.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Juventud de BernalWLLLL

GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ProvincialDLWLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Juventud de BernalProvincial
20.0Attack23.3
6.7Defence26.7
13.3Form23.3
18.4Power26.7
1.08xG0.97
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