Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Junkeren · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Junkeren are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Harstad are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Harstad hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (13.2 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Junkeren holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Junkeren
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
35.9%
Junkeren has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 21 · GA 5 · avg 4.20/1.00
GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20