Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Junkeren · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Junkeren are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Follo are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and junkeren hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 32.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely result in the 2. Division - Group 2, favouring Junkeren with 10.0% confidence, a 62% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Junkeren
Probability
62.9%
Model confidence
10.0%
Junkeren has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00