Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Junior · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Junior are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Llaneros are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Junior hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.9% in the Primera A, while Junior holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Junior
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
18.9%
Junior has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80