GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 5/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cerro Porteno · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Junior are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cerro Porteno are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Cerro Porteno hold a 31.6-point power-rating edge (33.0 v 64.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.3% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while Cerro Porteno holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cerro Porteno

Probability

46.3%

Model confidence

46.3%

Cerro Porteno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JuniorWLDWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Cerro PortenoDWLWW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
JuniorCerro Porteno
27.8Attack33.3
38.9Defence85.7
22.2Form66.7
33.0Power64.6
0.61xG1.21
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