GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 6/3/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico Nacional · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Junior are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Atletico Nacional are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Nacional hold a 12.9-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the Primera A, while Atletico Nacional holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico Nacional

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

46.9%

Atletico Nacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JuniorLDWDD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico NacionalWWWWL

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
JuniorAtletico Nacional
48.1Attack64.2
61.7Defence72.8
54.3Form71.6
55.9Power68.8
0.81xG1.40
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