GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K4 League · 3/21/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jungnang Chorus Mustang · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Jungnang Chorus Mustang are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Pyeongtaek Citizen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Jungnang Chorus Mustang hold a 31.3-point power-rating edge (58.5 v 27.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.2% in the K4 League, while Jungnang Chorus Mustang holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jungnang Chorus Mustang

Probability

83.2%

Model confidence

83.2%

Jungnang Chorus Mustang has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jungnang Chorus MustangLWLLL

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Pyeongtaek CitizenDWLWL

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Jungnang Chorus MustangPyeongtaek Citizen
58.8Attack31.4
60.8Defence23.5
54.9Form17.6
58.5Power27.2
3.19xG0.62
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