GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/24/2026, 2:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shimizu S-pulse · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Jubilo Iwata are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Shimizu S-pulse are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Jubilo Iwata hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (64.2 v 60.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Shimizu S-pulse holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shimizu S-pulse

Probability

35.7%

Model confidence

35.7%

Shimizu S-pulse has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jubilo IwataWDWDW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Shimizu S-pulseWLLLW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Jubilo IwataShimizu S-pulse
76.2Attack62.5
52.4Defence70.8
61.9Form54.2
64.2Power60.3
1.58xG1.66
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