GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 4/5/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

UTC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Juan Pablo II College are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while UTC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and UTC hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (36.7 v 41.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the Primera División, while UTC holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

UTC

Probability

38.7%

Model confidence

13.1%

UTC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Juan Pablo II CollegeLLWWW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
UTCDLWLD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Juan Pablo II CollegeUTC
39.4Attack38.1
30.3Defence46.0
31.8Form31.7
36.7Power41.3
1.35xG1.47
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