GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 5/3/2026, 6:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Universitario · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Juan Pablo II College are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Universitario are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Universitario hold a 21.9-point power-rating edge (36.7 v 58.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.0% in the Primera División, while Universitario holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Universitario

Probability

60.0%

Model confidence

60.0%

Universitario has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Juan Pablo II CollegeDDLWL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
UniversitarioWLWLL

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Juan Pablo II CollegeUniversitario
39.4Attack46.0
30.3Defence68.3
31.8Form57.1
36.7Power58.7
0.75xG1.87
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