GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 8/8/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Juan Pablo II College are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Atletico Grau are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and atletico Grau hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (37.7 v 42.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Primera División, favouring a draw with 16.2% confidence, a 39% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

34.4%

Model confidence

16.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Juan Pablo II CollegeLWDDD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Atletico GrauLLWDD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Juan Pablo II CollegeAtletico Grau
41.3Attack23.8
30.2Defence65.1
33.3Form31.7
37.7Power42.3
0.92xG0.99
View match centre →