Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
18%
HighconfidenceJäPS are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while MP are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and jäPS hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (48.0 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Ykkösliiga, favouring a draw with 18.4% confidence, a 36% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
18.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
JäPSLWWLW
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
MPWDLDW
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
JäPSMP
31.5Attack35.2
55.6Defence55.6
51.9Form38.9
48.0Power45.9
0.92xG0.85