Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
JäPS are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Klubi-04 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and JäPS hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 38.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20