Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
JäPS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Klubi-04 are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and JäPS hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 38.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00