Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
haka · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
JäPS are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Haka are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Haka hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (48.0 v 64.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the Ykkösliiga, while Haka holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
haka
Probability
60.5%
Model confidence
14.6%
haka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00