Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Újpest II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Újpest II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Vasas II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Újpest II hold a 40.8-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Újpest II holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Újpest II
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Újpest II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00