Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Újpest II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Újpest II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Monori Se are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Újpest II hold a 51.7-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Újpest II holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Újpest II
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Újpest II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00