Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Budaörs · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Újpest II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Budaörs are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Újpest II hold a 26.1-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 70.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Budaörs holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Budaörs
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Budaörs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60