Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Újpest II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Újpest II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while BKV Előre are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Újpest II hold a 53.7-point power-rating edge (65.5 v 11.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.4% in the NB III - Southeast, while Újpest II holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Újpest II
Probability
56.4%
Model confidence
56.4%
Újpest II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 14 · GA 12 · avg 2.80/2.40