Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jonsered · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Jonsered are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Onsala are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Jonsered hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (54.8 v 48.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.2% in the Division 2 - Västra Götaland, while Jonsered holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Jonsered
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
10.2%
Jonsered has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20