GGOALVIO

Netherlands · Eerste Divisie · 8/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vitesse · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Jong Utrecht are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Vitesse are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vitesse hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.7% in the Eerste Divisie, while Vitesse holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vitesse

Probability

37.8%

Model confidence

12.7%

Vitesse has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jong UtrechtLWDWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
VitesseDLDWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Jong UtrechtVitesse
33.3Attack33.3
33.3Defence66.7
0.0Form33.3
23.7Power45.3
1.43xG1.49
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