GGOALVIO

Netherlands · Eerste Divisie · 8/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jong AZ · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Jong AZ are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while FC Eindhoven are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Jong AZ hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (50.7 v 44.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.0% in the Eerste Divisie, while Jong AZ holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jong AZ

Probability

51.3%

Model confidence

12.0%

Jong AZ has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jong AZWLLLW

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
FC EindhovenWLLLD

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Jong AZFC Eindhoven
54.4Attack39.5
46.5Defence50.0
49.1Form37.7
50.7Power44.3
1.80xG1.14
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