GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga B · 6/21/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tartu Kalev · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-4

Highconfidence

JK Tabasalu are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Tartu Kalev are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Kalev hold an 18.3-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 55.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.2% in the Esiliiga B, while Tartu Kalev holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 89% BTTS chance and 95% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tartu Kalev

Probability

64.2%

Model confidence

64.2%

Tartu Kalev has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JK TabasaluWWLLL

GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Tartu KalevLLWLW

GF 13 · GA 17 · avg 2.60/3.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
JK TabasaluTartu Kalev
51.5Attack92.4
12.1Defence31.8
40.9Form51.5
37.2Power55.4
2.31xG4.50
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