Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VJS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
JJK are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while VJS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and VJS hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (50.5 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.4% in the Ykkönen, while VJS holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
VJS
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
8.4%
VJS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00