Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rops · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
JJK are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Rops are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rops hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (50.5 v 63.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.3% in the Ykkönen, while Rops holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rops
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
7.3%
Rops has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60