Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MP · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
JIPPO are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while MP are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and MP hold a 37.4-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the Suomen Cup, while MP holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
MP
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
MP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40