Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jincheon · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Jincheon are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Namyangju are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Jincheon hold a 13.5-point power-rating edge (67.0 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.8% in the K4 League, while Jincheon holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Jincheon
Probability
62.8%
Model confidence
62.8%
Jincheon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80