Jincheonvs
Geoje Citizen
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K4 League · 7/25/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jincheon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Jincheon are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Geoje Citizen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Jincheon hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (67.0 v 50.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.9% in the K4 League, while Jincheon holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Jincheon
Probability
65.9%
Model confidence
65.9%
Jincheon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60