GGOALVIO

China · League Two · 8/16/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jiangxi Liansheng · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Jiangxi Liansheng are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Xiamen Feilu are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Jiangxi Liansheng hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (56.8 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.5% in the League Two, while Jiangxi Liansheng holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jiangxi Liansheng

Probability

45.2%

Model confidence

17.5%

Jiangxi Liansheng has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jiangxi LianshengWWDLD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Xiamen FeiluDLLLD

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Jiangxi LianshengXiamen Feilu
40.0Attack45.0
71.7Defence56.7
53.3Form43.3
56.8Power50.0
1.14xG0.68
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