GGOALVIO

China · League Two · 7/25/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Jiangxi Liansheng are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Shenzhen 2028 are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Shenzhen 2028 hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (56.8 v 60.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the League Two, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.5%

Model confidence

38.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jiangxi LianshengDLWWL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Shenzhen 2028WDDWW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Jiangxi LianshengShenzhen 2028
40.0Attack60.0
71.7Defence61.7
53.3Form60.0
56.8Power60.5
0.97xG0.94
View match centre →