GGOALVIO

China · League Two · 7/19/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Jiangxi Liansheng are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Guangdong Mingtu are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Jiangxi Liansheng hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (56.8 v 48.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the League Two, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.8%

Model confidence

45.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jiangxi LianshengLWWLL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Guangdong MingtuDWLDW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Jiangxi LianshengGuangdong Mingtu
40.0Attack31.7
71.7Defence68.3
53.3Form38.3
56.8Power48.4
0.84xG0.48
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