GGOALVIO

Latvia · 1. Liga · 4/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

JFK Ventspils · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

JFK Ventspils are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tukums II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and JFK Ventspils hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (36.3 v 26.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.5% in the 1. Liga, while JFK Ventspils holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

JFK Ventspils

Probability

51.5%

Model confidence

51.5%

JFK Ventspils has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JFK VentspilsDLLWD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Tukums IILLWLD

GF 10 · GA 16 · avg 2.00/3.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
JFK VentspilsTukums II
37.5Attack43.8
41.7Defence6.3
22.9Form25.0
36.3Power26.9
2.18xG1.40
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