GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 4/4/2026, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tokyo Verdy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

JEF United Chiba are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Tokyo Verdy are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tokyo Verdy hold a 22.3-point power-rating edge (9.0 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.3% in the J1 League, while Tokyo Verdy holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tokyo Verdy

Probability

35.3%

Model confidence

35.3%

Tokyo Verdy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JEF United ChibaLLLWL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Tokyo VerdyDLWLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
JEF United ChibaTokyo Verdy
0.0Attack33.3
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form16.7
9.0Power31.3
1.36xG1.41
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