JEF United Chibavs
Tokyo Verdy
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 4/4/2026, 4:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tokyo Verdy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
JEF United Chiba are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Tokyo Verdy are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tokyo Verdy hold a 22.3-point power-rating edge (9.0 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.3% in the J1 League, while Tokyo Verdy holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tokyo Verdy
Probability
35.3%
Model confidence
35.3%
Tokyo Verdy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40