GGOALVIO

JEF United Chiba logoJEF United ChibavsMachida Zelvia logoMachida Zelvia

COMPLETED

Japan · J1 League · 8/15/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Machida Zelvia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

JEF United Chiba are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Machida Zelvia are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Machida Zelvia hold an 81.7-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.4% in the J1 League, while Machida Zelvia holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Machida Zelvia

Probability

48.4%

Model confidence

12.4%

Machida Zelvia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JEF United ChibaLDLDL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Machida ZelviaWWWDW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
JEF United ChibaMachida Zelvia
0.0Attack100.0
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form100.0
7.0Power88.7
1.18xG1.72
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