GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 5/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Machida Zelvia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

JEF United Chiba are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Machida Zelvia are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Machida Zelvia hold an 86.8-point power-rating edge (9.0 v 95.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.8% in the J1 League, while Machida Zelvia holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Machida Zelvia

Probability

53.8%

Model confidence

53.8%

Machida Zelvia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JEF United ChibaWLLLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Machida ZelviaWDDLW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
JEF United ChibaMachida Zelvia
0.0Attack100.0
0.0Defence83.3
0.0Form100.0
9.0Power95.8
1.03xG1.90
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