GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 3/7/2026, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kashiwa Reysol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

JEF United Chiba are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Kashiwa Reysol are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kashiwa Reysol hold a 77.5-point power-rating edge (9.0 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.6% in the J1 League, while Kashiwa Reysol holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kashiwa Reysol

Probability

52.6%

Model confidence

52.6%

Kashiwa Reysol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JEF United ChibaLDDLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Kashiwa ReysolWLLLW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
JEF United ChibaKashiwa Reysol
0.0Attack83.3
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form100.0
9.0Power86.5
1.07xG1.88
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