JEF United Chibavs
Kashima
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 5/17/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kashima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
JEF United Chiba are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Kashima are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kashima hold a 74.3-point power-rating edge (9.0 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the J1 League, while Kashima holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kashima
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
Kashima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80