GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 5/17/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kashima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

JEF United Chiba are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Kashima are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kashima hold a 74.3-point power-rating edge (9.0 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the J1 League, while Kashima holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kashima

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

48.9%

Kashima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JEF United ChibaLWLLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KashimaDWDLW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
JEF United ChibaKashima
0.0Attack100.0
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form100.0
9.0Power83.3
1.23xG1.88
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