GGOALVIO

Latvia · 1. Liga · 4/25/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

JDFS Alberts · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

JDFS Alberts are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Mārupe are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and JDFS Alberts hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (58.7 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.5% in the 1. Liga, while JDFS Alberts holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

JDFS Alberts

Probability

54.5%

Model confidence

54.5%

JDFS Alberts has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JDFS AlbertsWLLLD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MārupeLDWWL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
JDFS AlbertsMārupe
66.7Attack54.2
52.1Defence47.9
58.3Form45.8
58.7Power49.1
2.35xG1.41
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