Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shortan · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Jayxun are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Shortan are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Shortan hold a 26.2-point power-rating edge (40.8 v 66.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.3% in the Pro League A, while Shortan holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shortan
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
53.3%
Shortan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00