Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jarun · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Jarun are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Opatija are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Jarun hold a 47.2-point power-rating edge (73.4 v 26.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Jarun holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Jarun
Probability
59.5%
Model confidence
59.5%
Jarun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80