Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jarun · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Jarun are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Križevci are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Jarun hold a 49.8-point power-rating edge (73.4 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Jarun holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Jarun
Probability
54.8%
Model confidence
54.8%
Jarun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80